Crasnick: False: I didn't love the Phillies' chances even before Halladay got hurt. But this is a proud, accomplished team that has a .500 record two months into the season even though Ryan Howard and Chase Utley haven't logged a single at-bat between them. Nobody is running away with the NL East, and the extra wild card spot gives the Phils some extra wiggle room. I think it's fair to say the Phils have a slim chance. But that's better than no chance.
Simon: False, but the chances have gone from reasonable to slim (I'd forecast it at less than 20 percent). In order to make the postseason, they'd definitely need Utley and Howard to come back at something close to the level of production that we've come to expect from them annually. They'll also need Halladay to return to form, and maybe the rest will allow him to heal up and do that. The Phillies were 46-19 in his starts in 2010 and 2011, but just 4-7 in 2012.
Baumann: Well, it looks less good than it did last week, but they've still got a shot. The drop from Halladay to either Dave Bush or Kyle Kendrick for two months is big in a division this close. But they've been without Cliff Lee and Vance Worley for parts of the season, and Utley and Howard for all of it, and they're still only four games back with more than 100 to play.
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